Theodore A. Postol

Articles by Theodore A. Postol

19 July 2014
Middle East

The evidence that shows Iron Dome is not working

Theodore A. Postol

Close study of photographic and video imagery of Israeli Iron Dome defense inceptors engaging with Hamas rockets—both in the current conflict and in the 2012 hostilities—shows that the Israeli rocket-defense system's success rate has been very low—as low as 5 percent or, perhaps, even less.

18 July 2014

Iron Dome: Images of failure

Theodore A. Postol
20 September 2012

The astonishing National Academy of Sciences missile defense report

George N. LewisTheodore A. Postol

A recent National Academy report reaches flawed conclusions based on incorrect assumptions, analytical oversights, and internal inconsistency. It should undergo a comprehensive technical review before it is used in missile defense policy making.

20 September 2012

The astonishing National Academy of Sciences missile defense report

George N. LewisTheodore A. Postol

Just a few weeks ago, on September 11, the National Academy of Sciences issued a report titled "Making Sense of Ballistic Missile Defense: an Assessment of Concepts and Systems for US Boost Phase Missile Defense in Comparison to Other Alternatives." It is an astonishing document, given that it purports to be the product of a respectable scientific institution. It contains numerous flawed assumptions, analytical oversights, and internal inconsistencies.

1 November 2010
Feature

The authors show that the United States has the ability to defend itself from long-range nuclear armed ballistic missiles if it builds the right systems—defenses based on stealthy drones that could shoot down ballistic missiles in powered flight after they have been launched from fixed known sit

29 June 2009

A post-launch examination of the Unha-2

Theodore A. Postol

North Korea tested a launch vehicle called the Unha-2 from its Musudan-ri launch site in North Hamgyong province on April 5 local time (April 4, 10:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time). Using information that has become available since the test and information from previous tests, we have conducted a technical analysis that leads to a compelling description of the Unha-2 launcher. This analysis suggests both challenges and potential opportunities.

1 May 2008
Feature

The United States plans to protect itself from emerging missile threats by building a Europe-based missile defense system. Like its predecessors, the system has serious technological deficiencies.