Extremes of weather: One of the greatest symptoms of climate change
By Dan Spinelli | January 29, 2019
Editor’s note: This story was originally published by Mother Jones. It appears here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration.
A deadly cold snap is hitting the Midwest, plunging roughly 200 million people into one of the most frigid weeks on record. Parts of Iowa, Minnesota, and Illinois will see temperatures plunge up to 50 degrees Fahrenheit below normal, raising fears of frostbite and hypothermia for any residents venturing outdoors.
The drastic cooling event, which forecasters have dubbed “Barney” because of its rash of purple color in weather models, stems from “a sudden and drastic warming of the air in the stratosphere, some 100,000 feet above the Arctic,” Axios reported. An area of the polar vortex, which encompasses the cold air around the North Pole, broke off, with the bulk of its impact hitting the Midwest.
Chicago, where temperatures can reach as low as minus 23 degrees by Tuesday night, will be one of the cities most directly threatened by the historic event. In the Windy City, temperatures have never sunk below minus 27 degrees, the Chicago Tribune reported this week. “There’s no other way to put it than that this will truly be dangerous/life-threatening cold,” the National Weather Service outpost there tweeted Sunday.
Update on extreme/record cold headed our way late Tuesday through early Thursday. There’s no other way to put it than that this will truly be dangerous/life-threatening cold. Forecast coldest wind chills during peak of this brutal cold snap are 40 to 55 below zero. #ilwx #inwx pic.twitter.com/SZ6u70vNaW
— NWS Chicago (@NWSChicago) January 27, 2019
The Weather Service warned that between Tuesday and Thursday, Chicago could endure subzero temperatures for 60 straight hours, the only time that has happened since February 1996. The city’s homeless could be at an increased risk of cold exposure. “The entirety of Minnesota and Wisconsin and much of northern Illinois is expected to remain below zero for all of Wednesday,” the Washington Post reported.
Extreme weather events have become increasingly common in recent months as the effects of worsening global warming continue to manifest—from record cold temperatures this week to a torrid heat wave last year—even though there remains some scientific debate on how global warming affects a shifting polar vortex.
“If you think of climate change as a kind of disorder the planet has, one of the greatest symptoms is increasing extreme weather events,” meteorologist Nick Humphrey told Mother Jones this summer. “Prior to human-induced global warming, climate changes were relatively slow over the course of hundreds to thousands of years.”
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Keywords: climate change, extreme weather
Topics: Analysis, Climate Change
Dan Spinelli
Dan Spinelli is an editorial fellow in Mother Jones’ DC bureau who covers environmental policy and national politics. You can email him... Read More
I have floated the idea that the warming arctic means that the tenperature differential between the arctic latitudes and the mid-latitudes is less. Thus, the heat flux northward is reduced. This heat flux serves as a force that helps to kerp the vortex in place, but global warming reduces this force. The idea needs a thermodynamic development