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Republic of Korea Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcon fighter jets. Photo credit: ROK Air Force

How to keep South Korea from going nuclear

The South Korean public debate on the country’s future nuclear options has recently extended beyond the usual pro-nuclear, conservative fringe voices of the past. Still, South Korea’s opposition to nuclear weapons remains strong. But Seoul’s nuclear abstinence must not be taken for granted.

Crisis management: A good lesson to learn?

Last month three terror attacks once again struck Mumbai, killing approximately 25 people. The attacks turned out to be the doing of an India-based Islamist outfit, the Indian Mujahedeen, and did not involve Pakistan-based Islamist militants. In the media coverage since, terrorism experts on South Asia have posited that this attack was not a decisive shift in Islamist terrorism in India -- their argument, instead, was that Pakistan-based militants, increasingly autonomous in their operations, still remain the most likely source of a large-scale attack on Indian soil.

Why the congressional strategic posture report is not about nuclear deterrence, but warfighting

The Commission paints a bleak picture of the near-term international security environment, but its recommendation to expand the US nuclear arsenal would make a bad situation worse.
Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping

India–China border dispute: the curious incident of a nuclear dog that didn’t bark

The nuclear dimension of the recent border clashes was conspicuous by its invisibility. Can the rest of the world learn from it?
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The nuclear mission must stay manned

The trouble with unmanned nuclear bombers is that there's no "human circuit-breaker"

Interview: Rose Gottemoeller on the precarious future of arms control

In this interview, American diplomat Rose Gottemoeller discusses reengaging with a saber-rattling Russia, negotiating with China, and how arms control frameworks can adapt to AI and other emerging technologies.
Artist's concept shows future ICBM blasting into sky

Another reason to cancel the Sentinel missile: the rising cost of its nuclear warhead

The total cost of the Sentinel missile, when you include all the costs of the warhead it will carry, will be more than $185 billion. The ever-increasing price tag for the new intercontinental ballistic missile strengthens the case against it.
Imran Khan of Pakistan (left) and Narenda Modi of India

India, Pakistan, Kashmir: Taking the war option off the table

On September 27, Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and Prime Minister Imran Khan of Pakistan will address the United Nations General Assembly in New York. This appearance will come at a time of great concern about the increasingly hostile relationship between their two countries. Now is a good time to resurrect an old idea proposed at various times by both India and Pakistan but never fully agreed: a binding commitment never to resort to war to settle their disputes.

Putin’s folly in Ukraine

How Putin has undermined Russian interests with his actions in Ukraine, and why the United States needs to help Russia find a face-saving way to withdraw its forces from Crimea.

Obama’s test: Bringing order to the national security policy process

During the Bush administration, funding for the Defense Department, State Department, and Department of Homeland Security more or less doubled. But in all three cases, the goal of the budget increases wasn't to create functioning, efficient, and effective bureaucracies. Instead, it was to push a political agenda--at the cost of effective management. As a result, all three departments emerge from the last eight years less focused, less disciplined, and less effective.

Humans should teach AI how to avoid nuclear war—while they still can

The systemic use of AI technology in nuclear strategy, threat prediction, and force planning could erode human skills and critical thinking. It could also lure users into believing that a nuclear war cannot be won.
The military applications of AI

Artificial intelligence: challenges and controversies for US national security

The United States and other countries must consider the possible impact of AI on their armed forces and their preparedness for war fighting or deterrence. Military theorists, strategic planners, scientists, and political leaders will face at least seven different challenges in anticipating the directions in which the interface between human and machine will move in the next few decades.
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (second from left) chats with North Korea's Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho (center right) as the European Union's foreign policy chief, Federica Mogherini (left), Philippine Foreign Secretary Alan Peter Cayetano (center behind), Australia's Foreign Minister Julie Bishop (bottom right) and South Korea's Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha (top right) look on during the 51st Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Ministerial Meeting (AMM) in Singapore in August 2018. (Photo credit: MOHD RASFAN/AFP/Getty Images.)

Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un need the European Union

US-North Korea negotiations are stuck. Trump should deploy the European Union.
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Atomic Homefront: a film about struggling to live with Manhattan Project radioactive waste

The film tells the story of the communities living in the North St. Louis County as they fight against the illegal dump of radioactive materials at the West Lake Landfill and the contamination spread around Coldwater Creek. The film has a dramatic progression as an underground fire, known in bureaucratese as a subsurface smoldering event, on the Bridgeton side of the landfill gets closer to the West Lake side where the radioactive materials are located.
Illustration depicting a hypersonic missile

Hypersonic missiles: Why the new “arms race” is going nowhere fast

Recent concerns that Washington is “behind” in a hypersonic arms race are unwarranted. Hypersonic missiles do not shift the strategic balance, and the United States stands to gain very little by deploying its own.

How Beijing can help prevent nuclear terrorism

China’s nuclear establishment needs a cultural shift.

How likely is an existential catastrophe?

You’re far more likely to die in an existential catastrophe than you think. And the risk of such a catastrophe is growing.
American flag and moon rocket

Bad moonshot rising: The moon’s dubious strategic value

Beating China to an objective that the United States aleady achieved 50 years ago would win few hearts or minds. It's an aim that seems of dubious worth in an international landscape defined more by geo-economic than ideological competition.

Interview: California Congressman Ted Lieu on what you can do about existential threats

The best ways to influence your elected officials, from the point-of-view of an elected official.
Zanskar River, in the Himalayas

Climate change and water scarcity will increase risk of nuclear catastrophe in South Asia

Nowhere is the relation between the climate crisis and the increased threat of nuclear war clearer than in South Asia, where approximately 700 million people in India, Pakistan, China, and Bangladesh depend on the shared waters of the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins. These river systems, fed by Himalayan glaciers, are diminishing markedly due to climate change.