The authoritative guide to ensuring science and technology make life on Earth better, not worse.
By Walter Scheirer | January 17, 2025
Editor’s note: This is part of a package of memos to the president.
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
FROM: WALTER J. SCHEIRER, UNIVERSITY OF NOTRE DAME
PURPOSE: SENSIBLE AI POLICIES THAT ADDRESS REAL PROBLEMS INSTEAD OF CONCERNS ABOUT A SUPERINTELLIGENCE THAT MAY NEVER EXIST.
The new administration has an opportunity to reset the policy conversation around AI governance—a pressing need in the face of a transformative technology that is rapidly reshaping significant aspects of society. With its traditional strengths in semiconductor design, academic and corporate research and development, and commercial innovation, America is leading the world in the creation and deployment of AI technologies. That means the United States has reaped the initial rewards, while experiencing some associated problems. A sensible policy must address those problems without inhibiting the country’s dominant position in this space and avoid placing attention on speculative concerns that are an unnecessary diversion.
The Biden Administration’s executive order on AI stopped short of preventing research to continue on the most powerful classes of machine learning-based algorithms by merely requiring that information about them be shared with the government. It would be a mistake to make unwarranted moves in the opposite direction, especially if they are based on flimsy motivations.
A few vocal constituencies—large tech companies, elite computer scientists, and political activists—have made claims regarding the emergence of “superintelligence” as an existential risk to humanity, and those claims often dominate public debate. But such claims are not grounded in the reality of today’s generative AI, which, while impressive in many regards, still struggles with basic tasks. Going down the sci-fi tinged path of AI as an existential risk will, at best, be a distraction from the real trouble that the country currently faces.
There are several clear and present dangers that should be a priority of the new administration:
The opportunities presented by AI must not be forgotten despite the problems it poses. AI has the potential to contribute positively to healthcare, education, manufacturing, and a host of other sectors of the economy. It’s also possible that it will create more jobs than it displaces in the process. But more research and development is necessary to realize these gains.
There is tension between progress in AI R&D and the administration’s laudable goal of reining in government spending. Reforms are sorely needed in the scientific funding space, but any changes in federal support for science should cut needless bureaucracy that slows science—and double down on direct funding to universities, national laboratories, and small businesses working on AI R&D. Finally, the establishment of a President’s Council on AI that would take a multidisciplinary approach (ideally untainted by corporate interest) to assessing the pros and cons of emerging technologies could aid the federal government in better guiding Americans into a future in which society and AI thrive.
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Keywords: AGI, Trump, artificial intelligence, generative AI, policy, superintelligence, technology
Topics: Disruptive Technologies