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Nuclear Notebook: an interactive nuclear weapons count

China Will Soon Surpass France as the World’s Third-Largest Nuclear Armed State Since 1987, the Bulletin’s Nuclear Notebook column has revealed surprise nuclear activity and spot-on arsenal estimates around the world. Researched and compiled by Hans M. Kristensen and Matt Korda of the Federation of American Scientists, the Nuclear Notebook is a critical resource for scholars, activists, and … Continued

Nuclear Notebook

Since 1987, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the Nuclear Notebook, an authoritative accounting of world nuclear arsenals compiled by top experts from the Federation of American Scientists. Today, it is prepared by Hans M. Kristensen, Matt Korda, Eliana Johns, and Mackenzie Knight of FAS. Because of its importance to researchers, governments, and citizens … Continued

Nuclear Notebook: Pakistan’s nuclear forces, 2011

Despite its political instability, Pakistan continues to steadily expand its nuclear capabilities and competencies; in fact, it has the world's fastest-growing nuclear stockpile. In the aftermath of the US raid that killed Osama bin Laden, who had made his hideout in an Islamabad suburb, concerns about the security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons are likely to keep pace with the growth of Pakistan's arsenal. Pakistan is building two new plutonium production reactors and a new reprocessing facility with which it will be able to fabricate more nuclear weapons fuel.

Nuclear Notebook: Worldwide Deployments of Nuclear Weapons, 2009

Nuclear Notebook: How many nuclear weapons are deployed worldwide? As of the end of 2009, we estimate that there are approximately 23,360 nuclear weapons located at some 111 sites in 14 countries. Nearly one-half of these weapons are active or operationally deployed. By far the largest concentrations of nuclear weapons reside in Russia and the … Continued

Nuclear weapons sharing, 2023

This Nuclear Notebook issue examines the current state of global nuclear sharing arrangements, which include non-nuclear countries that possess nuclear-capable delivery systems for employment of a nuclear-armed state's nuclear weapons.

Question for the candidates: How will you deter North Korea’s aggression without deteriorating the situation on the Korean Peninsula?

Eliana Johns, a senior research associate at the Federation of American Scientists and co-author of the Bulletin’s Nuclear Notebook, proposes four nuclear questions about the US arsenal, nuclear testing, use of nuclear weapons, and North Korea that journalists and citizens should ask the 2024 presidential candidates.

Question for the candidates: Should the president retain the sole authority to order the use of nuclear weapons?

Mackenzie Knight, a senior research associate at the Federation of American Scientists and co-author of the Bulletin’s Nuclear Notebook, proposes a series of seven questions on presidential launch authority, modernization of nuclear weapons, and arms control that journalists and citizens should ask the 2024 presidential candidates.

A #nukefest manifesto. Or critique, at least.

In the world of nuclear policy wonking, Tuesday belonged to Matt Korda, a research associate for the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists (and a co-author of the Nuclear Notebook column that the Bulletin has published since 1987). In his essay for Inkstick, “At #NUKEFEST, we asked all the wrong questions,” Korda asserted that last week’s Carnegie Nuclear Policy Conference had failed to address the “single most important issue within the nuclear field—the health and sustainability of the field itself.”

Nuclear arsenals of the world

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United Kingdom nuclear weapons, 2024

For decades, the United Kingdom has maintained a stockpile of approximately 225 nuclear warheads—up to 120 of which are available for delivery by four Vanguard-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines. This stockpile is now increasing.

Indian nuclear weapons, 2024

India continues to modernize its nuclear arsenal, with at least four new weapon systems and several new delivery platforms under development. We estimate that India may have produced enough military plutonium for 130 to 210 nuclear warheads but likely has produced only around 172, although the country’s warhead stockpile is likely growing.

North Korean nuclear weapons, 2024

North Korea continues to modernize and grow its nuclear weapons arsenal. We estimate that North Korea may have produced enough fissile material for up to 90 nuclear warheads, but has likely assembled around 50.

United States nuclear weapons, 2024

The United States has embarked on a wide-ranging nuclear modernization program. We estimate that its maintains a stockpile of approximately 3,708 warheads.

Russian nuclear weapons, 2024

Russia is modernizing all its Soviet-era nuclear-capable systems. We estimate that Russia now possesses about 4,380 nuclear warheads.

Chinese nuclear weapons, 2024

China is one of the fastest-growing nuclear arsenals among the nine nuclear-armed states. We estimate that China now possesses roughly 500 nuclear warheads, with more in production.

Pakistan nuclear weapons, 2023

Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is estimated to currently include approximately 170 warheads. It could realistically grow to around 200 by 2025 at the current growth rate.
Minuteman III missile in silo

United States nuclear forces, 2020

The US nuclear arsenal remained roughly unchanged in the last year, with the Defense Department maintaining an estimated stockpile of approximately 3,800 warheads. Of these, only 1,750 warheads are deployed.
Current homeland missile defense architecture. (UEWR = upgraded early warning radar.)

US ballistic missile defenses, 2019

According to the latest Missile Defense Review, the United States will continue to enhance its four primary missile defense systems without “any limitation or constraint.” Doing so is likely to be destabilizing.