One if by invasion, two if by coercion: US military capacity to protect Taiwan from China

By Owen R. Cote | March 10, 2022

The USS Cheyenne (SSN-773) departs Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, for a regularly scheduled Indo-Pacific deployment. Image courtesy of US Navy | Michael B. Zingaro

One if by invasion, two if by coercion: US military capacity to protect Taiwan from China

By Owen R. Cote | March 10, 2022

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References Converse, Blake. 2020. “First to the Fight.” Proceedings, US Naval Institute. October. https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2020/october/first-fight. Cote, O. R. 2019. “Invisible Nuclear-Armed Submarines or Transparent Oceans? Are Ballistic Missile Submarines Still the Best Deterrent for the United States.” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. January 2. Vol. 75, No. 1 (2019) pp. 30-35. https://thebulletin.org/2019/01/invisible-nuclear-armed-submarines-or-transparent-oceans-are-ballistic-missile-submarines-still-the-best-deterrent-for-the-united-states/. Hass, R., and Sacks, D. 2020. “America’s Support for Taiwan Must Be Unambiguous.” Foreign Affairs. September 2. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/american-support-taiwan-must-be-unambiguous. Haun, P. 2021. “Foundation Bias: The Impact of the US Air Corps Tactical School on United States Air Force Doctrine.” Journal of Military History. April 2021, pp. 453-474. Heginbotham et.al. 2015 The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996-2017, RAND RR-392-AF,2015, p.139. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR392.html. Office of the Secretary of Defense. 2020. “Annual Report to Congress, Military and Security Developments Involving the PRC.” https://media.defense.gov/2020/Sep/01/2002488689/-1/-1/1/2020-DOD-CHINA-MILITARY-POWER-REPORT-FINAL.PDF. Priebe, M., Vick, A. J., Heim, J.L., and Smith, M.L. 2019. “Distributed Operations in a Contested Environment: Implications for USAF Force Presentation.” Rand Corporation RR-2959-AF, 2019, pp. 66-78. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2959.html.

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